In the podcast, I mention Davis' bad luck and how to account for that luck statistically. FIP or Fielding Independent Pitching is the statistic that I use to look at what a Pitcher's ERA should be without all the bad luck. Here's a more technical definition from the Harball Times: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/statpages/glossary/#fip
If you're curious to see the Pitch data for Trevor Hoffman look here: http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfx.aspx?playerid=1035&position=P
Fangraphs.com has an incredible amount of baseball information. I feel bad linking you there, because I know that you will waste at least 20 minutes clicking through some interesting statistics.
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